Each Thursday we look at what is going to be coming out in theaters this weekend, show you the trailers for the big releases, predict the box office winner and just generally give you enough of a carrot to pull you through the rest of the work week. This week has three minor wide releases and serves as a bit of an oasis between the chaos of May and the unrelenting release schedule of June and July.
Three smaller releases open wide this weekend. The best-reviewed of the bunch is the science fiction revenge film Upgrade (currently around 83% on Rotten Tomatoes). Adrift, starring Shailene Woodley and Sam Claflin as woebegone sailors is getting mixed to negative reviews. Action Point is not being screened for critics, but-let’s face it-if you’re willing to go see a Johnny Knoxville movie in the theater, you could care less what critics think about it.
Action Point (Johnny Knoxville, R, 1hr 25min)
Adrift (Shailene Woodley, Sam Claflin, PG-13, 2hrs)
Upgrade (Logan Marshall Green, R, 1hr 35min)
How Did We Do Last Week? KT picked Solo: A Star Wars Story to win the weekend, and it did so, but if ever a weekend win felt hollow it was this one. Solo only managed to take in 84.8 million for the three-day weekend. Deadpool 2 finished second with $48.5 million. Adjusted for inflation, Solo’s is the worst opening in Star Wars history. Unadjusted, you have to go back to 2002’s Episode II to find a film in the franchise it beat. As poorly as it did in the US, the news was even worse overseas (only opening to a little over $10 million in China), and Disney is scrambling. Solo cost over $250 million to make, and as it looks now, the film seems unlikely to break even. Disney has pledged no more than one Star Wars film in a 12-month period going forward, and it seems likely that future franchise releases will stay in December where Disney has had nothing but financial success.
After five weeks in theaters, Avengers: Infinity War’s totals stand at $629.627 million domestic and $1.916 billion global. Internationally, Avengers: Infinity War is 4th all-time, and domestically, Infinity War is #6 all-time. It’s looking to cross the $2 billion mark internationally this weekend, and #3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens is not out of reach. Domestically, the film may take another few weeks, but looks like it could get to #4 Titanic and #5 Jurassic World before its run is complete.
(2018 Prediction Record: 21-0; Lifetime prediction record 106 – 10).
WHO WILL WIN THE WEEKEND?
With anemic competition, even factoring in what will probably be a giant drop for Solo in its second week, the film will likely take its second weekend in a row. If it has anyone to worry about its Deadpool 2, but I don’t think its second weekend take will tank far enough to allow it to be overtaken.